Testimony before the U.S. House of Representatives Subcommittee on International
Terrorism and Nonproliferation and Subcommittee on the Middle East and
Central Asia
Ilan Berman
Vice President for Policy
http://www.livejournal.com/users/sashanep American Foreign Policy Council
September 28, 2006
Chairman Royce, Chairwoman Ros-Lehtinen, distinguished members of the
Subcommittees:
Thank you for your invitation to appear before you today. It is a privilege
to discuss the capabilities of the Hezbollah terrorist organization, and
the worldwide threat now posed by this group.
It is not possible to understand Hezbollah without exploring the group’s
relationship with its midwife and chief sponsor, the Islamic Republic of
Iran. Today, Hezbollah may have carved out a unique role in regional politics,
simultaneously styling itself as the region’s preeminent “resistance” organization
and a legitimate Lebanese political party. Yet ideologically, economically
and politically, its fortunes remain intimately tied to those of the Iranian
regime.
IDEOLOGY
Hezbollah represents the first and most successful example of Iran’s
central foreign policy principle: the exportation of the Islamic Revolution.
As the organization’s ideological platform, articulated publicly for the
first time in 1985, made clear: “We view the Iranian regime as the vanguard
and new nucleus of the leading Islamic State in the world. We abide by
the orders of one single wise and just leadership, represented by “Wali
Faqih” [rule of the jurisprudent] and personified by Khomeini.”
More than two decades later, the ideological bonds between Hezbollah
and Tehran remain deep and durable, with Hezbollah’s spiritual guide, Hassan
Nasrallah, publicly pledging allegiance to—and serving as a personal emissary
of—Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
FINANCING
According to U.S. officials, the Iranian regime is the “central banker
of terrorism,” spending hundreds of millions of dollars annually on support
for radical groups and movements throughout the world.3 A large portion
of those funds go toward sustaining and supporting its principal terrorist
proxy. For years, the U.S. intelligence community has estimated that Iran
provides some $100 million—and perhaps closer to $200 million—annually
to Hezbollah.4 These funds go to support a broad range of initiatives,
ranging from the organization’s dedicated television channel, Al-Manar,
to Hezbollah’s foreign presence.
TRAINING
Iran’s powerful clerical army, the Pasdaran, was responsible for the
creation of Hezbollah in 1982, as part of Iranian assistance to Syria in
the arming and training of the Lebanese resistance as a hedge against Israel.5
Ever since, the Iranian regime has had a significant presence “on the ground”
in Lebanon, providing oversight of and assistance to Hezbollah’s day-to-day
operations.6 This foothold has significantly augmented Hezbollah’s indigenous
know-how, and perhaps even its war fighting capabilities; hundreds of Pasdaran
members are believed to have been involved in the recent fighting against
Israel. Hezbollah, in turn, has passed along this know-how to other terrorist
actors.
As long ago as the early 1990s, the organization is known to have provided
explosives training to al-Qaeda, as well as to Egypt’s al-Jihad organization,
as long ago as the early 1990s.8 Hezbollah has also become a significant
ally of the Palestinian Hamas movement; in March 2004, with Iran’s support,
the two organizations signed an unprecedented strategic accord expanding
tactical cooperation and coordination.
LOGISTICS
As part of its cooperation with Hezbollah, the Islamic Republic of
Iran remains intimately involved in the planning and execution of the organization’s
terror activities. The principal conduit for these contacts is believed
to be Imad Mughniyeh, the shadowy head of Hezbollah’s “special operations.”
Mughniyeh is said to be an agent of Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence and
Security (MOIS), carrying out his operations with MOIS backing and support.
This interaction is ongoing. As recently as January 2006, Mughniyeh is
believed to have traveled with Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to
Damascus, Syria—and to have facilitated a one-day meeting there between
Ahmadinejad and top leaders of Hezbollah, the Palestinian Islamic Jihad
and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine-General Command.11
It is also institutional in nature, and sustained at the highest levels
of the regime. At one time, current Iranian Defense Minister Mostafa Najar
directed the Pasdaran’s elite Qods Force and oversaw the Islamic Republic’s
contacts with Hezbollah.
WEAPONRY
Iran is Hezbollah’s principal military supplier, responsible for establishing
and preserving the organization’s substantial strategic capabilities. Iran,
in cooperation with Syria, has delivered thousands of Katyusha artillery
rockets, as well as hundreds of Iranian-made Fajr-5 short-range missiles,
to the terrorist group over the past several years13—weapons that were
instrumental in Hezbollah’s robust military showing against Israel during
hostilities in the summer of 2006. Tehran has also aided and abetted Hezbollah’s
efforts to acquire weapons of mass destruction, providing oversight and
assistance to Hezbollah’s efforts to arm its arsenal of short-range missiles
with chemical warheads.
SECURITY GUARANTEES
Iran has even gone so far as to place Hezbollah under its direct protection.
In early 2004, Iran’s then-Defense Minister, Ali Shamkhani, signed a “memorandum
of understanding” with Syria codifying Iran’s commitment to defend the
Ba’athist state in the event of an Israeli or American offensive. Shamkhani
subsequently made clear to Hezbollah’s top leadership that these guarantees
also extend to the terrorist group’s stronghold, Lebanon. (Notably, however,
Iran has not acted upon this pledge, despite serious questions about Hezbollah’s
survivability during the opening phases of the most recent Lebanon war).
HEZBOLLAH ASCENDANT
Four years ago, no less senior an official than then-Deputy Secretary
of State Richard Armitage dubbed Hezbollah the premier terrorist threat
to international peace and security. “Hezbollah may be the ‘A team’ of
terrorists,” Armitage told a Washington conference at the time. “Maybe
al-Qaeda is actually the ‘B team.’ Armitage’s assessment reflects a long-standing
consensus in the U.S. intelligence community: Hezbollah is a terrorist
group with truly global reach, and extensive asymmetric capabilities, thanks
in large part to its strategic partnership with Tehran. That estimate is
even more accurate today. The War on Terror so far has done nothing to
diminish Hezbollah’s international stature. To the contrary, over the past
five years Iran has deepened its assistance to the Shi’ite militia, enabling
the group to commence a landmark strategic expansion. This has included:
GREATER GLOBAL PRESENCE
Hezbollah has significantly widened its international presence in recent
years. In the West Bank and Gaza Strip, Hezbollah has begun a systematic
takeover of Palestinian terrorist groups, co-opting secular nationalist
terrorist groups and creating an elaborate smuggling network designed to
arm its growing cadres. According to the estimates of Israel’s Shin Bet
internal security service, the Lebanese Shi’ite militia directed over 50
separate Palestinian terror cells in 2004 - a seven-fold increase since
2002. And, just weeks after the end of its month-long war with Israel,
Hezbollah appears to have launched a new, more subtle terrorist campaign.
According to Yuval Diskin, the head of Israel's Shin Bet internal security
service, the radical Shi'ite militia has stepped up its efforts to train
and arm militants in the Palestinian Authority controlled Gaza Strip. Diskin
told a closed door session of the Knesset's foreign affairs and defense
committee in late August that Hezbollah's efforts are assisting a massive
arms build-up by militants in the Palestinian Territories.
With Iran’s blessing, Hezbollah has also established an extensive presence
in Iraq, with offices in such urban centers as Nasariah, Basra, and Safwan,
and has begun substantial recruitment efforts. This infiltration has been
so successful that the Lebanese Shi’ite militia is said to have assumed
police duties in some Iraqi cities. Likewise, while Hezbollah has been
active in Europe since the mid-1980s, the size and pace of the organization’s
activity on the continent appear to be increasing. According to counterterrorism
expert Matthew Levitt, Europe serves as a “launching pad” for Hezbollah;
a base from which to initiate operations against Israel and to conduct
surveillance of Western targets. Germany has emerged as a country of particular
focus in this regard. In the summer of 2002, Germany’s Federal Office for
the Protection of the Constitution went public with news that the organization
was actively seeking real estate in Berlin to establish a headquarters
and a “training centre” for its supporters in the country, then estimated
at about 800. Today, that number has expanded considerably; according to
German sources, Hezbollah now controls as many as five Islamic centers,
financed by Iranian funds funneled through the Islamic Republic's embassy
in Germany, in the North Rhine-Westphalia region alone, as well as a nationwide
network of as many as 1,000 operatives.
STRONGER TERRORIST TIES
Simultaneously, Hezbollah has deepened its alliances with other terrorist
organizations considerably. This collaboration has included assisting elements
of al-Qaeda to put down roots in Lebanon, helping Hamas in the development
of an indigenous missile capability, and coordinating anti-Israeli and
anti-American activities with an assortment of extremist groups.
GREATER PUBLIC OUTREACH
Although today’s international terrorist organizations have become
increasingly media- and Internet-savvy, it was Hezbollah that originally
pioneered the field of terrorist public outreach. Since its founding in
1991 with seed money from Iran, Hezbollah’s dedicated television station,
Al-Manar, has become a media powerhouse, broadcasting around the clock
via satellite to an estimated 10 to 15 million viewers daily throughout
the world.26 And, while European nations have undertaken a major effort
to silence Al-Manar in recent months, the station has proven resilient.
Al-Manar still claims to have the ability to reach a potential 200 million
viewers worldwide, providing Hezbollah with a global platform from which
to spread its radical message.
FUTURE ROLE
Back in the year 2000, Israel’s withdrawal from its long-established
security zone in southern Lebanon created a political vacuum in a 350-square
mile area on its northern border. Hezbollah was positioned to quickly fill
this void, in the process becoming the area’s dominant political and strategic
force and leading many to conclude that the organization would soon give
up its arms and turn its attention to development and civil society. As
the recent month-long Lebanon war has shown, however, Hezbollah’s new political
role has done little to soften the organization’s radicalism. Today, the
organization boasts virtual autonomy in what some have termed “Hizballahland”
and occupies no fewer than fourteen of the Lebanese parliament’s 128 seats.
Yet, while its day-to-day activities may focus on the banalities of civic
rule and confronting its immediate enemy, Israel, Hezbollah—like its progenitor,
Iran— remains ideologically committed to Khomeini’s extremist vision of
a Shi’ite dominated caliphate in the region, and of confrontation with
the West. Indeed, Hezbollah is poised to take on even greater regional
significance in the near future. Ongoing U.S. difficulties in Iraq, coupled
with the nuclear advances made by the Iranian regime over the past several
years, have catalyzed a growing wave of Shi’a empowerment in the region.
Hezbollah has been a principal beneficiary of this trend, a fact manifested
most dramatically by its kidnapping of two Israeli soldiers on July 12th—an
incursion that touched off a month-long war between the organization and
Israel. Little in Hezbollah’s calculus has changed, thanks in large part
to the group’s military successes against Israeli forces during recent
hostilities. As one regional expert has put it, “Hizbullah is in a unique
position to confront the U.S. agenda which if successful will be, by extension,
a victory for Syria, Iran and Hamas.”
U.S. policymakers should keep this perception in mind as they formulate
regional policy. They would also do well to remember the dictum of Hezbollah’s
spiritual leader, Hassan Nasrallah: “Death to America is not a slogan.
Death to America is a policy, a strategy and a vision.”
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